ECONOMY

South Africa’s gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 0,5% in the third quarter of 2025, moderating from the 0,9% expansion recorded in Q2. The data reflects a sluggishly improving economy supported by gains in trade, mining and household spending, despite continued weaknesses in utilities and a widening trade deficit.

Sector Performance: Broad-Based but Uneven Growth

Several major industries recorded positive growth in Q3.

The trade, catering and accommodation industry expanded by 1,0%, contributing 0,1 percentage points to GDP. Activity increased across wholesale, retail, motor trade, accommodation and the food and beverages sector—an indication of resilient consumer and tourism-linked demand.

The mining and quarrying industry grew by 2,3%, also adding 0,1 percentage points. Stronger production of platinum group metals, manganese ore and coal supported the sector’s recovery, despite global commodity volatility.

Services-related industries also strengthened.

  • Finance, real estate and business services expanded 0,3%,

  • General government services grew 0,7%, supported by higher public-sector employment,

  • Personal services increased 0,3%, and

  • Transport, storage and communication rose 0,5%, driven by air transport, transport support services and communication activities.

The manufacturing industry recorded modest growth of 0,3%, with four of ten divisions expanding. The food and beverages, and furniture and other manufacturing categories made the largest positive contributions.

Agriculture posted a solid 1,1% increase, supported by higher activity in field crops, horticulture and animal production.

In contrast, the electricity, gas and water industry contracted by 2,5%, subtracting 0,1 percentage points from GDP. Lower electricity production and consumption remain key structural constraints.

Demand-Side Trends: Household Spending Rebounds

On the expenditure side, household final consumption expenditure (HFCE) grew by 0,7%, contributing 0,5 percentage points to total GDP growth. Consumer spending rose across durable goods, non-durable goods and services.

The main contributors were:

  • Transport (+1,6%; +0,2 percentage points),

  • Food and non-alcoholic beverages (+0,9%; +0,1 pp),

  • Housing and utilities (+0,9%; +0,1 pp),

  • Furnishings and household equipment (+2,0%; +0,1 pp).

Expenditure on clothing, footwear and the “other” category declined.

Government consumption increased by 0,3%, reflecting higher compensation of employees.

Investment Strengthens but Trade Deteriorates

Gross fixed capital formation rose by 1,6%, contributing 0,2 percentage points to GDP. Strong momentum came from:

  • Transport equipment (+6,6%),

  • Other assets (+3,8%),

  • Transfer costs (+9,9%),

  • Non-residential buildings (+2,7%), and

  • Machinery and equipment (+0,4%).

Inventories increased by R25,7 billion, with major contributions from trade, manufacturing, and utilities.

However, net exports subtracted 0,4 percentage points from GDP. Exports grew 0,7%, driven by vegetable and mineral products, but imports rose 2,2%, reflecting higher demand for machinery, mineral products, textiles, and fats and oils.

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